| Abstract |
The Netherlands has always been the odd case out regarding trust in public institutions.
In the 1980s and 1990s, contrary to international trends, trust in government
remained high and even increased. Suddenly, from 2002 onwards, public
trust in government declined dramatically. In this article we examine the plausibility
of ten explanations, embedded in the international scholarly literature, and
explore whether they are empirically supported or rebutted in case of the Dutch
drop. We find that because most of the literature concentrates on the crossnational
erosion of political support over a long period within Western democracies,
explanations tend to focus on gradual, long-term demographic, social, and
political trends. Sudden dips in trust levels, however, require different sets of
explanatory factors; they are better explained by political or economic contingencies,
such as sudden political or economic crises. In the case of the Dutch drop, the
most plausible explanation is a combination of an economic decline, combined
with high political instability and contestation during the first Balkenende cabinets.
As of 2007, with a new cabinet in office, and an economic recovery in place, trust
figures are on the rise again. |