Technological regime shifts to environmental sustainability
01 / 1998 - 99 / 2003
I) Development of a theoretical framework on technological regime shifts, II) development of a methodology of socio-technical scenarios, using the developed theoretical framework, III) application of the scenario methodology to two complex fields: transport and energy production. The socio-technical scenarios consist of a description of plausible development paths, including processes of niche formation and proliferation, regime change, and pressures of and implications for the techno-economic paradigm. In the scenarios technological change is endogenized: it depends on government policies, learning economies and institutional adaptations. This means that the interactions between technology and the social context are the focus of attention.